We’re seven weeks and almost 40 wagers into the season, and here’s what I know. Peyton Manning has led his team to a 6-0 record, but he’s also responsible for six percent of the interceptions in the NFL so far this year.

The NFC East will be won by a 9-7 team, but only if they’re lucky. I’m thinking 8-8 is just as likely in the NFC Nickelback, where every team is aggressively mediocre.

That London trip is starting to become the Executioner’s song. Twice in the last year the losing team has canned their coach on the way home, which should make Jags coach Gus Bradley very nervous.

Dallas, it is actually possible to win with a backup quarterback. Look to Pittsburgh for a far worse situation that turned out OK.

Titans, sit Marcus Mariota until he’s healthy. He’s your only hope.

I’m not sure Washington has a NFL quarterback on the roster, but Colt McCoy deserves a chance. Kurt Cousins is a human turnover, and not in the Scott Mitchell sense.

I’m glad we know who Buffalo’s coach is for the first time in 20 years, but they’re not there yet. They could still wind up finishing last in the division.

Miami played hard for Dan Campbell, which is both good news for Dolphins fans and a bit shameful. If you need a change of coaches to inspire you in the NFL, you’re stealing money.

In Seattle, the Legion of Boom has become the Legion of “No, That Was YOUR Man.” They still can be a playoff team in the not-so-very-good-NFC, though.

The Colts fake punt was actually neither. I can’t definitively say it’s the worst play I’ve ever seen in the NFL, but it’s right up there with Joe Pisarcik and the Buttfumble.

Whatever the Browns and NFL are doing with Johnny Manziel, they need to do the opposite of that, and quickly.

ESPN will have a stand-alone streaming app in the next year. They’re losing too much money from cord-cutters to avoid it any longer.

If the Cowboys were to erect a statue of Brandon Weeden, it would only be slightly less mobile in the pocket.

Carolina is legit. Don’t let still hating Cam Newton from college make you sleep on a very good team.

The Saints aren’t done yet, but next year they’ll look completely different.

Philip Rivers will go down as the Ernie Banks of the NFL, unless the Ernie Banks of the NFL is already Dan Marino, and then he’ll go down as a “poor man’s Dan Marino.”

The Chiefs may need an exorcism. Picking them as my AFC Super Bowl team may be the worst decision I’ve made since my first marriage, when I said “Sure, your mom can come stay with us for a little while.”

On to the picks. Last week I was a meaningless Colts touchdown away from pulling even, but Andrew Luck’s last minute drive cost me money. I went 2-4, which makes my first non-winning week on the season. I went six weeks without dropping under .500, which is a moral victory for me somewhere along the lines of not being the worst back-up quarterback in the league. I’m now 25-12-2 on the year, still good but starting to fall off, much like the Cardinals. I’ll see if we can turn this one around this week, but as always, feel free to bet against me.

Here’s my picks for week seven. Remember, these are for the purposes of discussion only. As always, no wagering.

Buffalo (minus 4) vs. Jacksonville in London – The NFL is trying new revenue streams for this awful game, which will only be available to watch on the internet, LaserDisc, and in prisons.

Pick: Jaguars

New York Jets (minus 8) at New England – The over/under on this one is 2.5 on Belichick trickery, tomfoolery, and assorted shenanigans. I’m predicting a halfback option, quick kick, and Brady Fed Ex’ing the ball for a two-point conversion.

Pick: Patriots

Minnesota (minus 2) at Detroit – Only in Detroit is the first win of the season cause for celebration, because now they can’t tie their own record.

Pick: Vikings

Atlanta (minus 6) at Tennessee – The Falcons were embarrassed at New Orleans last week, and the Titans will be ordering a Mettenberger with cheese, hold the victory. I’d bet my pants on this one.

Pick: Falcons

Oakland (plus 4) at San Diego – Winner gets LA. Loser has to stay in Oakland.

Pick: Chargers

Dallas (plus 3.5) at NY Giants – In his first game with Dallas, Greg Hardy treated the Patriots offensive line like the laws of our country, and ignored them completely.

Pick: Giants

I’ll also take “Empire” to last one more year, “The Blacklist” two seasons, and the second season of “Fargo” to be another “True Detective.”

 

Reid Kerr talks a lot, as his wife always reminds him. Reid’s novel “The Great Texas Trailer Park Escape” is available from Amazon and Barnes and Noble.com. You can always tweet questions, comments, and angry messages to him at @reidaboutit.