Do not draft a quarterback in the first round. That was the advice constantly hammered into us from fantasy magazines, experts, television personalities.
Well, this year is proving them right.
If you drafted Aaron Rodgers or Andrew Luck in the first round of four drafts, which at the time did not seem like such a far-fetched notion, you are probably either .500 or in must-win mode now to make the playoffs. Neither Rodgers (1,937, 19 TDs) nor Luck (1,881 yards, 15 TDs, 12 INTs) have produced even close to the kind of numbers one would expect with such a high pick.
But you know which QB has?
Oakland Raiders’ Derek Carr (2,094 yards, 19 TDs, 4 INTs), Jacksonville Jaguars’ Blake Bortles (2,193 yards, 17 TDs, 10 INTs) and Arizona Cardinals’ Carson Palmer (2,386 yards, 20 TDS, 6 INTs).
I would make a bet these QBs went in the 10th round or later in most drafts, if they were taken at all in smaller leagues.
In a 14-team league that I play in I drafted Blake Bortles with my final pick in the 15th round. He is the No. 8 producing quarterback in fantasy. He would be an every-week starter for me if I did not also have Palmer, who was taken in the 10th round by another owner in our league. Palmer is the No. 6 QB in fantasy and a player I acquired through trade a couple weeks ago.
How about guys who could’ve been grabbed off the waiver wire for nothing like Ryan Fitzpatrick, Josh McCown, Tyrod Taylor. All of them are in the Top 25 in fantasy production. Both Taylor and McCown would be higher, but they have dealt with some injuries.
Names like Ben Roethlisberger, Peyton Manning, Tony Romo are nowhere to be found on this list. For Manning it’s because he’s having a nightmare season. For Big Ben and Tony it is because of injuries.
But the point of all this is you do not have to shoot for the moon for a quarterback, so Roethlisberger and Big Ben owners need only to look at the waiver wire for their QB needs.
Guys like Bryan Hoyer may not sound earth shattering, but Hoyer is through his bye week, and in six games has thrown for 1,581 yards and 13 TDs with just three interceptions. Other players to look at as possible “help me survive” while your QB is on the mend are Marcus Mariota, Teddy Bridgewater, and if you’re desperate, Matt Hasselbeck.
I would wager unless you are in a 14-to-16 team or two-QB league, all of those names I just listed can be grabbed off your waiver wire. Another possibility is to make a trade for someone like a Fitzpatrick or Taylor. Chances are they are probably the backups for someone and could be had for a No. 2 RB or No. 3 receiver.
Just next year, no drafting quarterbacks in the first round - unless it’s Tom Brady.
Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 10
Quarterback: Kirk Cousins, Washington - This is a one-week only plug in and play. These are the passing yardage and touchdown pass numbers allowed by the New Orleans Saints in the past three weeks: 371 yards, 4 TDs; 350 yards, 6 TDs; 333 yards, 3 TDs. Guess who gets to face the Saints at home this week? Mr. Cousins.
Running Back: Antonio Andrews, Tennessee; Shaun Draughn, San Franciso - If you did not take my advice and grab DeAngelo Williams or Jeremy Langford last week, you still might be able to take a stab at either Andrews or Draughn. Neither of these guys are in the same situation or class as Williams or Langford, but could be serviceable bye-week fill ins.
Wide Receiver: Dorial Green-Beckham, Tennessee - All year fantasy players have waited for DGB to finally emerge. He has all of the natural tools, but needed the playing time and targets. He got both last week against New Orleans, finishing with 10 targets and 5 receptions for 77 yards. Kendall Wright was injured last week, which probably helped DGB’s numbers, but I just feel that he is going to be someone to watch down the stretch of this season.
Start These Guys In Week 10
Quarterback: Blake Bortles, Jacksonville (at Baltimore) - The Ravens have regularly been giving it up to QBs and Bortles now has one of the best receiving duos in the league at his disposal with Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns. Last week: Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay (249 yards passing, 0 TDs). Had the yardage, but no scores against a very beatable Giants secondary.
Running Back: James Starks, Green Bay (vs. Detroit) - This could also be Eddie Lacy, but this should be a 100-yard plus and a TD day for Starks/Lacy against a very giving Detroit rush defense. Last week: I give up on the Denver RBs. If you can’t take advantage of Indianapolis … (C.J. Anders and Ronnie Hillman combined! 14-35, 0 TD)
Wide Receiver: Desean Jackson, Washington (vs. New Orleans) - He didn’t do much coming back from injury last week, but the Saints secondary is so bad that I envision at least one 50-yard score from Jackson. Last Week: Allen Hurns went off just like we thought he would (5-122, TD).
How Did My Teams Do In Week 9
Thanks to Antonio Brown’s record-setting day, my PPR CBSSports.com team went off with over 200 points. Not bad when you’re playing the top team in the league. The Last Action Heroes defeated The Goodfellas 201-88 to get over .500 at 5-4. In my standard Yahoo.com league, I got big production from DeAngelo Williams to defeat Dem Bums 97-69 and raise my record to 6-3. Onward to more victories this week!
Good Luck In Week 10
- Tyler Morning Telegraph staff writer Chris Parry has been an avid fantasy football player since his collegiate days at Texas Tech in the late 90s. His fantasy football takeaway appears each Thursday. Any questions or comments can be emailed to firstname.lastname@example.org or tweeted to @CParryETFS.