Posted: 15 May 2008 09:23 am
Post Subject: Re: Here's why, Steve...Re: TAX MYOPIA - Re: FairTax good for real estate Read Article
Steve,
Here's why I'm saying the national sales tax must be at least 30%. I hate repeating myself, but it apparently isn't sinking in. We have a $12-13 trillion economy. That is our GDP...that is everything economically we do...that is the most you can tax...get it? I won't go into the fact that this was originally proposed by the so-called Church of Scientology in the early nineties as a way to get rid of the IRS, according to Bruce Bartlett in the WSJ, let's deal with numbers.
Our national budget will be $3 trillion this year. To pay that and not run the kinds of deficits we are running, you need to raise that much. And I'm being kind in not including the unconscionable practice of paying for the war off-budget, or paying down the debt, or solving our social insurance problems.
Let's begin with the deceptiveness of the "tax inclusive" idea." I'll just quote Bartlett here...
"In reality, the FairTax rate is not 23%. They get this figure by calculating the tax as if it were already incorporated into the price of goods and services. (This is known as the tax-inclusive rate.) Calculating it the conventional way that every other (This is called the tax-exclusive rate.)
The distinction is confusing, but think of it this way. If a product costs $1 at retail, the FairTax adds 30%, for a total of $1.30. Since the 30-cent tax is 23% of $1.30, FairTax supporters say the rate is 23% rather than 30%.
This is only the beginning of the deceptions in the FairTax. Under the Linder-Chambliss bill, the federal government would have to pay taxes to itself on all of its purchases of goods and services. Thus if the Defense Department buys a tank that now costs $1 million, the manufacturer would have to add the FairTax and send it to the Treasury Department. The tank would then cost the federal government $300,000 more than it does today, but its tax collection will also be $300,000 higher."
This legerdemain is done solely to make revenues under the FairTax seem larger than they really are, so that its supporters can claim that it is revenue-neutral. But for the government to afford to purchase the same goods and services, it would have to raise spending by the amount of the tax it pays to itself. The FairTax rate, however, is not high enough to finance the higher spending it imposes. Therefore the proposal only works if federal purchases are cut by 30%, close to $300 billion--the increased cost imposed by the FairTax.
Similarly, state and local governments would have to pay the FairTax on most of their purchases. This means that it is partly financed by higher state and local taxes. It's also worth remembering that state sales taxes now average 6%, which means that the total tax rate will be 36% on retail sales.
The sales tax folks say they will send a monthly rebate check to the poor based on income. Who keeps track of that, and how much will it total?
A 2000 estimate by Congress's Joint Committee on Taxation found the tax-inclusive rate would have to be 36% and the tax-exclusive rate would be 57%.
In 2005, the U.S. Treasury Department calculated that a tax-exclusive rate of 34% would be needed just to replace the income tax, leaving the payroll tax in place. But if evasion were high then the rate might have to rise to 49%. If the FairTax were only able to cover the limited sales tax base of a typical state, then a rate of 64% would be required (89% with high evasion).
Given the actual taxes paid by real people in the real world that I have presented a couple of times before, this is a huge tax increase on everyone, even the wealthy. Steve, your comment that we all have 23% taken out of our checks is just silly and has no bearing on reality. One simple Google search will help you see what we actually pay.
And by the way, Bruce Bartlett was Under-Secretary of the Treasury under Reagan and Bush Sr.
Simplicity is very seductive. But this one is just a bad idea.
Posted: 15 May 2008 11:28 am
Post Subject: Re: Here's why, Steve...Re: TAX MYOPIA - Re: FairTax good for real estate
Karen,
I get so tired of hearing that the FairTax proposal is really a 30% tax not 23%. I don’t understand what is so difficult to understand. If you cut an apple into 100 pieces, and you give Bill 77 pieces and Joe 23 pieces, Bill got 77% of the apple and Joe got 23%. If something costs $1.00 the seller will receive 77-cents and Uncle Sam will receive 23-cents. Currently if the total amount of taxes withheld from your paycheck is 23%, your dollar just become a 77-cent dollar. If you buy something that cost $1.00 it will take one of your 77-cent dollars and 30% of another. If you say the FairTax is 30% then you must also say a 23% income tax is really 30%. If you say 23% is a deception of the FairTax, you must say a 23% tax under our current system is deceiving. When you add in all the imbedded taxes it really becomes deceiving. The bottom line is this; if we must pay taxes a consumption tax is the fairest way. It includes everyone and there is no double or triple taxation as there is under our current system. The FairTax is designed to be revenue neutral. If the rate needs to be 50% at least we know the cost of government. The more transparent the rate the better chance we have to curb government spending. If Congress tries to increase the rate, all those who vote for the increase will not be in office next term. All opponents of the FairTax need to wake up. This is why so many in Washington are against the FairTax. The FairTax will limit their power. As it is, taxes can be increased without the average American’s knowledge.
Posted: 15 May 2008 12:21 pm
Post Subject: Re: Here's why, Steve...Re: TAX MYOPIA - Re: FairTax good for real estate
Karen, Nearly every sentence in that Bartlett hit piece has been discredited by objective economists. My personal opinion is that Bartlett is only the tip of the iceberg. When the wealthy that have conspired to make our tax code such a mess see that the FairTax has a shot at actually becoming law, they will come out in droves to protect their advantage. They may even go lower than to link the FairTax to the Church of Scientology—they may begin to call it "liberal". It is a logical fallacy to oppose the migration to the FairTax because it doesn't raise billions more than the current code raises. It seems that you agree that the cause of the deficit is rampant overspending in Washington. That will not be fixed soley by the FairTax, but I believe when Americans begin to actually see how much is taken from them they will begin to question what they get for their money. In fact, I believe that the most vocal demographic for lowering spending will be the lowest rungs on the economic ladder. Try asking some friends how much they paid in taxes last year. I cannot tell you how many people answer that question with, "noting--I got money back." We don't "feel" the taxation now because part is taken before we ever see our checks and part is hidden in the cost of the goods we buy.
Even though they are compensated for it with the prebate, the visual reminder of the tax rate every time they spend will make Americans "feel" like they are paying a lot in and question the return on their investment.
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Re: Hey y'all - Still 'UN' fair